The D30 is way more reliable than the D35. I have seen it live with 33-37's with little or no problems. I wouldn't recommend going larger than 35's. I 've seen the D35 fail with stockish size tires and no wheeling
That's only because it's up front. On the other hand, I've seen D35's with 35-37's (& lockers) that have survived mild wheeling. D35's are a bit hit&miss. Still, I wouldn't want to go through the hassle of spending all that money and having something else break. Keep in mind that the YJ D30 has that cast coupler on the long side as well. I would say if you're going to keep a D30 then you would want an XJ hi-pinion.
It's hard to stay under 1K once you add a good locker and some good shafts. Lots of times good used stuff comes up at a good price.
But then you get stronger shafts with a D44. Larger brakes, larger axle housing, larger R&P, real hubs, etc... Not to mention all of the other options like Hi-steer. So as a package, it would make sense if you're going to take advantage of it. Even if you don't, it's nice to be overbuilt and not have to worry.
That is some good advice. Stay with the 27 spline and if you start having problems you can upgrade. I would still carry spares depending on what style of wheeling your doing.
If I didn't need deeper gearing I think I would have stayed with the D30. Or until it started giving me problems regularly.
I've done gears and have a TrueTrac in mine. I got the TT for cheap and the gears were cheap as well. I think I have less then $300 in my D30. Selling it, I could probably make $300-400 with the right buyer. I traded my D35 away. Actually, I pretty much gave it away and it had 4:56's. I traded it for a AX-5, Bell housing and NV231 then I traded that for a radiator and soft top, which I needed more. I could probably have got around $3-400 for that as well. I have less then $2000 in my D44 which for the most part is all new. That includes axle shafts, drums, brakes pads, locker and gears. If I was t do it over again, I'd consider buying a SJ or '78/'79 F250-F350 then build up the axles piecemeal as I wheel on the stock axles.